Archive for May, 2009

Foreign Owners of an American Team

Earlier this month, in my post Buy American? What Does that Mean?, I wrote about the impact of globalization on the economy and our everyday life. It appears globalization has now changed the American sports landscape. On May 24th 2009, the Cleveland Cavaliers, one of the four remaining teams in the NBA playoffs, sold a 15% stake in the team to a group of Chinese investors. The deal must be approved by the NBA’s board of governors but this would be the first major American team to be owned by foreign investors, even if it’s only a minority share. Foreign players on US teams has become ordinary and foreign ownership overseas is more common in football clubs(soccer for us Americans). In the English Premier League alone Derby County is owned by a US based group, Aston Villa is owned by the Cleveland Brown’s owner, Chelsea is owned by a Russian Billionaire, and Fulham is owned by the Egyptian owner of Harrods department store.

Mark Cuban owner of the NBA’s Dallas Mavericks, actually predicted this would happen in his blog post, When Will Foreign Ownership of US Sports Teams Start? on Feb 29, 2008. A little over a year later he has his answer. The irony of the whole thing is that one of the hardest hit parts of the Rust Belt is Cleveland, OH. Globalization has caused many manufacturing jobs to go overseas; no doubt bitterness for foreign companies and the US companies that moved operations elsewhere, must be high. In April, Ohio’s unemployment rate was 10.2%, one of the highest rates in over 25 years. One place the city of Cleveland could find solace was in the Cavs who looked poised to win the team’s first ever NBA championship. Now a championship might be bittersweet.

The only thing for sure is globalization is here to stay and will continue to change the way all business is being done.

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Is My Girlfriend A Better Investor Than Me? Week 2 Results

Never assume anything! I assumed that with the economy in the process of recovering, the first things people will go out and buy will not be coach bags. Apparently I’m wrong! COH is up roughly 30% which means my girlfriend is up about 10% and beating me by 7%. Yikes, who knew? I won’t be handing over the investment money to her just yet, lets finish the game first. Great job by my girlfriend!

Overall My Return

3.36%

Overall GF Return

9.38%

 

Buying Price

Thursday Close Price

Gain/Loss

% Gain/Loss

Time Held

XLF

11.75

12.01

0.26

2.21%

2 Weeks

WFMI

20.55

18.33

-2.22

-10.80%

2 Weeks

MCD

55.62

58.13

2.51

4.51%

1 Week

COH

19.82

25.68

5.86

29.57%

1 Week

Third Weeks Picks:
Me – Buy OIH (Oil Services HOLDRs) at $14.91

My analysis – the global economy is recovering and the world is using more oil again. Don’t look at the price at the pump it will only hurt.

My GF – Buy SBUX (Starbucks Corp) at $13.71

My GF’s analysis – she likes Tazo Tea which Starbucks own and she knows people love the coffee (like me) even though she doesn’t.

Please note: there is no recommendation to buy or sell here and ModernMoneyBlog.com will not be held responsible for any action on your part. This is for informational purposes only.

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How to Stop Eating Out!

My biggest spending problem is dinning out. I love eating out because I don’t have to prepare for anything, just get in my car with some money and I’m all set. For me, buying groceries is a gigantic hassle. I have to set aside an hour of my life to walk through the aisles of some supermarket in search of food. If the store is crowded that’s even worse! My girlfriend likes to study everything in each aisle while I just want to get out. Then once we drag the food to our apartment and put everything away, we have to cook something that is worth eating. After dealing with that mess, a drive-thru seems so much more appealing.

Not only does the whole grocery shopping experience bore me to no end but my lifestyle also plays a part. I work a 9 to 5 job and then I take classes night. When I get to class, I am usually starving. Typically, I will head out before class to get something to eat or on the way home pick up something close by my apartment. On top of all this, I use food as a reward. My girlfriend and I like to go out when we have done something worth celebrating. All of these factors go into how I eat. Besides gaining weight which sadly I have, this is killing my bank account. If you estimate that we roughly spend about 5 dollars a meal out * 2 people * 30 days in a month roughly = $300. Then if you add eating out at a nicer restaurant for $50 every Saturday night, let’s say, that equals to about $200. This gives us a grand total of about $500 dollars a month. That may seem unrealistic but I have been hitting pretty close to that and it’s got to stop especially since I am losing my rental income this month.  Here are my real numbers which are quite disappointing:Eating Out Spending Chart

While my overall spending on eating out has decreased, it looks to be on an upward surge recently! I have to stop eating out, so I devised a solution to control this situation.

My Eat At Home Solution

1.    Make a plan – To do anything in life it is best to start off with some kind of plan. I need to figure out what I want to eat and when. I will write down what meals I want for each day of the week. I am going to try doing this one week at a time at first.  Then after creating my creating a menu of meals, I need to convert that menu into a shopping list to buy those foods.
2.    Going cold turkey – I was thinking about maybe allowing us to eat out 1 time a week but I don’t think this will work for us (or at least me). I think we should go cold turkey for a while.
3.    Figure out how to make this positive – My girlfriend enjoys grocery shopping and I don’t. For whatever reason we wanted to both go together, maybe to be romantic? Now we decided it’s best if I don’t go anymore. This makes it a more positive buying experience for her and its positive for me as I don’t have to go! This won’t work if you are single but maybe you could go to the store more frequently, buying a few things at a time to make the experience less daunting. Unless of course you like to shop.
4.    Buying some prepared food – this is more expensive than buying ingredients separately and making it yourself, however, I am going from eating out a lot to eating exclusively at home and I need something that makes it easier on me.
5.     Make food on the weekends then freeze it – this may seem obvious but for someone who likes the drive thru this is going to be important, in order to break my habit. I simply don’t have a lot of time to cook on the week days. That means my girlfriend and I will have to make our food ahead of time and reheat it during the week.  I am going to use glad containers to individually package my meals for lunch. This will make it easier to take to work for lunch.
6.    The reward – normally if I did something deserving of a reward, I would go out to eat. Clearly can’t do that anymore!  If I bought myself something that would be nice but the whole point of this exercise to is save money. So I think what I will do is look at what I have saved from the month by not eating out. I will take half of that and put it into a savings account. The other half I will have earmarked for a new TV that me and my girlfriend need. This should keep me motivated to keep off of the fast-food and stick with the plan.

I’ll post an updates to see how this strategy works!

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Inflation and How to Protect Your Portfolio

With the depression talk gone and things improving in the economy, we seemed to be poised for an economic recovery. However I haven’t heard enough about a concerning problem that we will be facing going forward, so I thought I might be the bearer of bad news. Please start to be on the lookout for Inflation!

After the war time spending and corporate bailouts, the US government has been printing money at an alarming rate. This does come at a price, however, and that price is inflation. This problem is made worse by the fact that some people who were hit hard in their investment accounts recently, moved out of the market altogether and most likely went into a cash or money market account. Sadly, if these people don’t start thinking about inflation, they could be hit hard again by staying in the “safer” money markets accounts while inflation runs rampant. For the month of March 2009 there was actually deflation (prices for goods went down), based on the information from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Fed Fund Rate is so low that there is no actual number for it. It is in a range of 0.0–0.25%. Using historical averages as guide, I don’t think inflation will be low for long. Don’t take my word for it though, Ben Stein in his most recent article on Yahoo Finance concurs.

So how can you be protected from this future inflation? On the fixed income side, I would start looking at Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS). Basically these bonds that pay interest twice a year, are meant to protect against inflation (as you could have guessed from the name) by being linked to the CPI measure for inflation. They will increase in value as inflation increases. These bonds can be purchased directly from the US government through www.TreasuryDirect.gov. This option is the best for diversifying in a bond portfolio.

For an equity inflation hedge, there are inflation protected bond funds like the Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund (VIPSX) or Fidelity Inflation Protected Bond Fund (FINPX). For these funds at least 80% of its assets are invested in TIPS. An interesting alternative fund I just found reading this article on CNNMoney.com was the Tax Aware Real Return Fund (TXRAX). This fund uses tax municipal bonds and inflation linked swaps to track the Consumer Price Index, which is used to measure inflation. Finally, if you want to buy an ETF to protect against inflation there is the iShares Barclays TIPS Bond (TIP). In the ETF case 95% of the funds assets are invested in TIPS. I know many people like to use Gold the commodity or GLD ETF as a hedge for inflation but I would rather use a more pure form to hedge against inflation, as gold can have many other factors that influence its price. It would be a shame to use gold as a hedge and only to not have it work as well as one would like. One note of caution all of these will decrease with deflation, so don’t start loading up on anything yet. Just starting thinking about buying some of these securities on when the time is right.

Please note: there is no recommendation to buy or sell here and ModernMoneyBlog.com will not be held responsible for any action on your part. This is for informational purposes only.

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Is My Girlfriend A Better Investor Than Me? Week 1 Results

Last week, I decided to play a game with my girlfriend to see who is the better investor? The idea has turned from being a game of men vs. women game to knowledge of investing vs. no knowledge of investing game. It would be so interesting if my girlfriend won, she might pick some stocks for me! This week I am winning as I only have a slight loss on my XLF; Whole foods has not held up well after reporting a pretty good quarter last week.

Buying Price

Thursday Close Price

Gain/Loss

% Gain/Loss

XLF

11.75

11.74

-0.01

-0.09%

WFMI

20.55

19.82

-0.73

-3.55%

Second Weeks Picks:

Me – Buy MCD (McDonald’s Corp.) at $55.62

My analysis – the CEO has been great, in a recession I expect it to continue to do well and even in a recovery, who doesn’t like the fries?

My GF – Buy COH (Coach Inc.) at $24.09

My GF’s analysis – she loves the bags and is trying to get me to add to the collection

Please note: there is no recommendation to buy or sell here and ModernMoneyBlog.com will not be held responsible for any action on your part. This is for informational purposes only.

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