Posts Tagged investing
Is My Girlfriend A Better Investor Than Me? Week 1 Results
Posted by Sonny in Trading/Investing on May 22nd, 2009
Last week, I decided to play a game with my girlfriend to see who is the better investor? The idea has turned from being a game of men vs. women game to knowledge of investing vs. no knowledge of investing game. It would be so interesting if my girlfriend won, she might pick some stocks for me! This week I am winning as I only have a slight loss on my XLF; Whole foods has not held up well after reporting a pretty good quarter last week.
|
Buying Price |
Thursday Close Price |
Gain/Loss |
% Gain/Loss |
|
|
XLF |
11.75 |
11.74 |
-0.01 |
-0.09% |
|
WFMI |
20.55 |
19.82 |
-0.73 |
-3.55% |
Second Weeks Picks:
Me – Buy MCD (McDonald’s Corp.) at $55.62
My analysis – the CEO has been great, in a recession I expect it to continue to do well and even in a recovery, who doesn’t like the fries?
My GF – Buy COH (Coach Inc.) at $24.09
My GF’s analysis – she loves the bags and is trying to get me to add to the collection
Please note: there is no recommendation to buy or sell here and ModernMoneyBlog.com will not be held responsible for any action on your part. This is for informational purposes only.
Understanding Sunk Costs
Posted by Sonny in Personal Finance, Trading/Investing on May 19th, 2009
As you might know from reading my About page, I’m an MBA student and college textbooks are a really expensive issue for me. Even with the help of the internet facilitating better pricing, issues with sunk costs still arise here. Sunk costs are defined by Investopedia.com as being “a cost that has been incurred and cannot be reversed.” My basic definition for a sunk cost is a number that you remember but you really shouldn’t. For example, I bought a book for a class in January 2009 for $145. This weekend I was researching current prices for the book so I can sell it. This $145 book is now selling for around $50. This is very frustrating! In reality I know I shouldn’t even think about the $145. It’s a number I remember but shouldn’t! I don’t need the book anymore and I don’t like the book so I should just get rid of it, even at $50, but my emotions won’t let me.
Here is an investing example of sunk costs that I’m sure most investors can relate to. If I buy a stock at $50 and it goes down to $25, the decision to sell shouldn’t be based on the $50 cost. Instead of thinking about sunk costs, I will be thinking to myself “as soon as it gets back to $50, I’m going to sell”. Rarely does this ever happen. A more realistic conclusion is that I will panic and sell the stock when it gets to $10. I should really be looking at the stock as if I bought it today at $25. I if still like the stock then I should keep it. If I don’t then I should get rid of it. This is of course easier said than done. My emotions will keep me linked to the $50 price I originally paid and will not make it easy to sell.
These are just a few personal examples of sunk costs and how they influence my decision making. Understanding and ignoring sunk costs will allow us not to get so wrapped up in the purchase price and better evaluate future choices.
Is My Girlfriend A Better Investor Than Me?
Posted by Sonny in Trading/Investing on May 15th, 2009
A couple days ago I read the article How Women Invest Differently Than Men on Yahoo! Finance. The point of the article was that women have less volatile portfolios, little ego and therefore better returns compared to men. Now I’m no expert but I do have an interest in stocks. My girlfriend, on the other hand, has virtually no interest in the market. That gave me an idea! What would happen if I went head- to-head with my girlfriend in a stock picking competition? So here are the game rules:
1. We each pick 1 stock per week for 4 weeks.
2. Any stock is fine
3. Each stock is replaced at the end of the week
4. The best performance % wins
First week Picks:
Me – Buy XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR) at $11.75
My analysis – any recovery will have to include the financials, they have had a nice run up but I think they could go higher.
My GF – Buy WFMI (Whole Foods Market) at $20.55
My GF’s analysis – every time she visits Whole Foods there are more people there than the last time she went.
Please note: there is no recommendation to buy or sell here and ModernMoneyBlog.com will not be held responsible for any action on your part. This is for informational purposes only.
Bear Market Rally or New Bull Market?
Posted by Sonny in Trading/Investing on May 11th, 2009
With 10 of the 19 banks participating in the stress test needing to raise capital (biggest being Bank of America at $35 Billion), the worst news, they say, is over. So now the question must be: are we in a Bear Market Rally or the start of a New Bull Market? The S&P 500 is up over 35% since the March 9, 2009 lows. Consumer Confidence jumped from 26.9 (March 09) to 39.2 (April 09). Even bad employment data is news for the market to rally. From a personal example, I went shopping at a local mall two weeks ago and then went back this last weekend. Two weeks ago the mall parking lot was empty and the people that were there were not really buying. This weekend I thought it was black Friday or Christmas. Everyone is feeling like this economy and the market are turning around.
Here is the problem: Things are better but we are not out of the woods yet. The news for the consumer spending is picking back up but businesses are holding steady. They are not looking for new workers and they aren’t spending. To get the market back in complete rally mode, we need both consumers and businesses to be on board. Right now businesses are on the sidelines and unemployment is still high.
Therefore, looking at the S&P 500 spdrs (SPY), I see the market heading lower before it goes up. Specifically, I think it will head down to 85 then to 100. We’ll see if this holds true.
Please note: there is no recommendation to buy or sell here and ModernMoneyBlog.com will not be held responsible for any action on your part. This is for informational purposes only.

